LOW Flood Risk for Wednesday 4th January 2012

Flood Risk Third January 2012 (LOW)

The rain (and strongest of the winds) associated with the storm system crossing Scotland have now moved off and the rest of today will see occasional showers and continued gusty winds, these reaching 50-60mph at times across Cumbria and along the coastal fringes, more typically 40-50mph elsewhere. Further minor disruption to travel remains possible, more especially across Cumbria. The Yellow warning for winds in force for north Lancashire and Cumbria will expire at 1800 this evening. There is a small risk of gusts in excess of 60mph affecting the coasts around the Wirral and Merseyside for a time this evening although this is unlikely to cause any new warnings to be issued.

Similar conditions will prevail throughout this evening and overnight with further blustery showers brought in on a fresh to strong west to northwest wind, touching gale force at times around the coast.

Tomorrow will turn increasingly wet from the northwest with extensive rain across the region through the afternoon and still a fresh to strong westerly wind. A Yellow Warning is in force for tomorrow’s rainfall and has been updated to include rather more of the region.


Today’s Flood Guidance Statement (shown above) is showing Cumbria, Lancashire and Greater Manchester at Yellow (Low) flood risk tomorrow in response to the forecast rainfall and its effect on river levels.

After tomorrow’s rain has moved through, although the pattern remains unsettled and rather windy, there are no further major rain/wind events on the immediate horizon. I guess for that at least we can be grateful.

Kind regards,

Alan Goodman; Met Office Regional Advisor – NW England


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