A major development in the Atlantic for Friday and Saturday will result in a period of wet and windy weather affecting Cumbria and Lancashire but especially the former. The main thrust of rain looks like occurring early on Friday and then again later on Friday and overnight. The heaviest rain will be very much tied to the higher ground with the Cumbrian Fells catching the largest totals. Although the amounts involved will not be all that high by Cumbrian standards, given the recent wet weather a Yellow Alert has been issued for both Cumbria and the far north of Lancashire, valid from 1800 Friday to 0900 Saturday.
A Yellow Alert (Low likelihood of medium level impacts) remains in force for Cumbria and north Lancashire from 1800 tomorrow until 0900 Saturday. Rainfall from weather fronts linked to a very deep Atlantic low will affect the area tomorrow and overnight before clearing through early on Saturday morning.
The Flood Guidance Statement is Yellow (low flood risk) for both Cumbria and Lancashire tomorrow and on Saturday with minor impacts possible from both river overspill and/or surface water excess.
The unsettled pattern will continue through the weekend into early next week and a fresh bout of wet and windy weather is expected to affect both counties later on Sunday and early Monday. A new Yellow Alert has recently been issued for this event (low likelihood of medium level impacts) and covers all of Cumbria and the western half of Lancashire, valid from 1800 Sunday to 1200 Monday. The Flood Guidance Statement does not yet make reference to this event but is likely to include it from tomorrow.
After that has gone through there are hints (and only hints at this stage) of something a little drier as the opening days of 2013 unfold. There is certainly no sign of any cold weather returning for the foreseeable future so any hazards in the coming week will be very much water-related,