Good morning Colleagues,
Away from the coastal strip there are no weather-related issues today. Along the coast the flooding risk will peak along with the high tide shortly after midday. This morning’s Flood Guidance Statement (FGS) continues to show the region’s coastline at Amber with a medium likelihood of some significant impacts resulting. Various Flood Advisory Service teleconferences are in progress this morning to plan the response in more detail and all relevant coastal flood warnings are in force. The winds themselves should not prove especially disruptive, peaking at 50-60mph along the coast. A Yellow warning for the winds remains in force along the entire coastal strip for the remainder of today.
A couple of changes to note for the coming weekend. Firstly tomorrow – a rather disorganised weather system will spread some areas of rain northwards across the region later tomorrow morning and into the early afternoon. Some of the rain may turn heavy and over the higher ground of Cumbria in particular the rain may turn to snow for a time with the possibility of temporary accumulations resulting along some of the higher routes as we approach lunchtime tomorrow. A Yellow warning is being prepared for this eventuality and will be available for viewing on Hazard Manager shortly. Winds everywhere tomorrow will be light with no other issues of note.
Secondly, on Sunday the NE’wards spread of the next batch of rain and strengthening winds is a little slower than was suggested yesterday with the first half of the day likely to be dry, the rain then spreading in during the afternoon.
On Monday strong S to SW winds will be the main feature, especially along exposed sections of the coast where further minor flooding impacts are possible around the time of high tide between 1430 and 1500 in the afternoon. The FGS is Yellow along the entire coastline for Monday, as of yet there are no severe weather warnings in force.
From Tuesday onwards the Atlantic low responsible for Sunday and Monday’s weather will gradually blow itself out, heralding a (somewhat) quieter period of weather for the rest of next week.
Updates will be issued as per necessary over the course of the weekend,
Alan Goodman; Met Office Advisor (Civil Contingencies)