No major changes to report in the forecast or severe weather warnings status, the rain currently looking more extensive and heavier on the radar than it’s been for some time with further spells of rain, heavy at times, through the remainder of the day, although as the afternoon progresses so we should start to see the back edge of the rain band making some SE’wards progress into the county, with a final clearance due around early to mid-evening.
The Yellow warning remains in force until midnight with continued minor impact potential. Likewise today’s Flood Guidance Statement shows the county on Yellow (low) flood risk for both river and surface water excess. Glancing at the observations Keswick and Shap have recorded 41mm and 53mm respectively in the 36 hours leading up to 0600 GMT this morning. Nothing remarkable there by Cumbrian standards. However, the situation deeper into the Lake District gets much more interesting with as much as 180mm of rain recorded at the Environment Agency’s Honister Pass rain gauge in the 24 hours to 0300 GMT today. The power of the fells and the topography of the central Lakes area in terms of orographic rainfall production never fails to impress. Not surprisingly there are various flood alerts and one flood warning currently in force across the county. The latest radar rainfall imagery can be viewed as always on either Hazard Manager or the Met Office website.
Thankfully it’s all change for tomorrow with a much brighter, drier day in prospect, still a few showers coming through on a brisk breeze but feeling a whole lot better, albeit cooler. Better still for Christmas Day with light winds, sunny intervals and a nice crisp feel to the day.
Still much uncertainty regarding developments later on Boxing day and the weekend, a spell of rain/wind looking inevitable but hopefully not to any greatly disruptive extent.
We’ll leave it there for now, I’ll update again if any warnings are issued for the weekend.
With kind regards,
Alan Goodman; Met Office Advisor (Civil Contingencies)