Risk of minor disruption from persistent rain this evening, overnight and through Monday – Met Office update briefing Please find below the latest commentary on the current wet spell and some further views on the changes taking place this week: Current situation and updated forecast: Last night’s rain has now almost cleared away and, apart from a narrow strip of showers feeding in off the Irish Sea to Lancashire, all will be dry for the next 4 to 5 hours or so. However, the next event (the last in the current series) will see rain spreading out of north Wales into Cheshire later this afternoon and then spreading further NE to Merseyside, Greater Manchester, Lancashire this evening, some of it spilling over into south Cumbria. For the aforementioned areas it looks a pretty wet night ahead with some of the rain on the heavy side. There remains some doubt about
Risk of localised disruption from rain Sunday/Monday – Met Office update
Good morning, The forecast for the next 24 hours is a period of rain setting in from the south this afternoon, eventually reaching Cumbria this evening and continuing overnight before gradually withdrawing away to the North East tomorrow morning. The rain may not prove continuous throughout the event and may well only reach ‘steady’ intensities across a good part of the region. With the winds during this rainfall event coming from the E or NE the Pennines should hopefully ‘do their job’ and limit the likelihood of any disruption from the rainfall with most of the heavier rainfall falling over or to the east of the main high ground. The risk of any strong winds developing as the rain clears away tomorrow morning now looks extremely low. Unfortunately that will not be the end of the story. Although we will enjoy a dry period from late Sunday morning through the
Ongoing risk of disruption from persistent rain
The latest forecast information is now to hand and the scenario overnight is largely unchanged with further outbreaks of rain affecting much of the region for a good part of this evening and overnight, the driest conditions liable to be located towards north and west Cumbria where currently things are dry. Although the majority of the rain will be in the ‘light to steady’ category there remains the potential for one or two heavier interludes this side of midnight. Hence, although the rate of rainfall accumulation will be generally slow there is still the potential for another 10-20 mm of rainfall across a wide swathe of the North West with the risk of ongoing flooding-related impacts lasting well into the night. By midnight we should be seeing the rain area start to withdraw from the north so Cumbria will be first to ‘dry up’ with Lancashire expected to follow later in the
Low Flood Risk for 24 and 25 September
A major development now taking place well to the southwest of the UK will result in a deep low pressure centre tracking NE’wards into the country over the next 36 hours. Copious rainfall will be generated by the system across a good swathe of the UK, some places also at risk from strong to gale force winds, and the Met Office has Yellow Alerts in place for the whole of northwest England throughout Monday and Tuesday. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/ There remains some uncertainty as to exactly where will see the heaviest and potentially most disruptive rainfall, but the latest predictive sequence I can offer is as follows; TODAY (23 September): Outbreaks of rain will spread from the south later today, reaching Cheshire late this afternoon or early this evening then pushing on northwards to remaining areas this evening. There will be further rain at times across the region through the night but, borne on a freshening E to
